Sustainable Gastronomy Day 2022; June 18th.

FORUM: "Practicing Sustainable Gastronomy" Sustainable Gastronomy Day 2022.

 Many of us use these buzzwords in everyday conversations but the FAO break it down in a more thought-provoking way:

Gastronomy can be described as the style of cooking of a particular region; a cultural expression of the world’s natural and cultural diversity.

Sustainability considers how to carry out processes in a way that is not wasteful of natural resources – and that can be continued into the future without any detrimental effects.

Sustainable Gastronomy, therefore, takes into account where ingredients are from, how they are produced and the methods by which they are delivered to local markets and, ultimately, our plates

 MAJOR INGREDIENTS FOR CULINARY PROFESSIONALS

What you need to know?

World production of major cereals is expected to decline in 2022 for the first time in four years, while global utilization is also seen down, for the first time in 20 years. However, the use of cereals for direct food consumption by humans is not anticipated to be impacted, as the decline in total use is expected to result from lower feed use of wheat, coarse grains and rice.

World wheat stocks are set to increase marginally in the year, mostly due to anticipated build-ups of inventories in China, the Russian Federation and Ukraine.

Word maize output and utilization are forecast to hit new records, associated with greater ethanol production in Brazil and the United States of America as well as industrial starch production in China.

Global consumption of vegetable oils is predicted to outpace production, despite expected demand rationing.

While meat production is expected to decline in Argentina, the European Union and the United States of America, global output is forecast to expand by 1.4 percent, led by an 8-percent foreseen increase in pig meat production in China, reaching and even exceeding the level before the dramatic spread of the African swine fever virus in 2018.

World milk production is forecast to expand more slowly than in previous years, constrained by falling dairy herd numbers and lower profit margins in several major producing regions, while trade may contract from the elevated level of 2021.

World sugar production is expected to increase after three years of decline, led by gains in India, Thailand and the European Union.

Global aquaculture production is forecast to increase by 2.9 percent while that of capture fisheries will likely expand by 0.2 percent. Reflecting rising prices of fish, total export revenues from fisheries and aquaculture products are anticipated to climb by 2.8 percent, while volumes seen dropping by 1.9 percent.

Food Outlook offers deeper dives into major agricultural commodities, in particular wheat, maize, rice, the oilcrops complex, as well as dairy, meat, fish and sugar.

Why do we need to change our food system?

Trade - OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2013-2022

Agriculture trade continues to increase:

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2013-2022 HIGHLIGHTS

Emerging economies will capture much of the trade growth, accounting for the majority of exports of coarse grains, rice, oilseeds, vegetable oil, sugar, beef, poultry and fish. The OECD area share of trade will continue to decline while remaining the major exporters of wheat, cotton, pig and sheep meat and most dairy products.

The Agricultural Outlook, 2013-2022, is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations and input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets. This year’s edition contains for the first time a chapter on world cotton markets.

Chapter 2 has been prepared with assistance from the Agricultural Information Institute (AII) of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences and the Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) of the Government of China. However, responsibility for the information and projections contained in this document remain those of the OECD and FAO, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the AII or of the MoA

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The baseline projection is not a forecast about the future, but rather a plausible scenario elaborated on the basis of specific assumptions regarding the macroeconomic conditions, the agriculture and trade policy settings, weather conditions, longer term productivity trends and international market developments. The projections of production, consumption, stocks, trade and prices for the different agricultural products described and analysed in this report cover the years 2013 to 2022. The evolution of markets over the outlook period is typically described using the annual growth rate or percentage changes for the final year 2022 relative to a three-year base period of 2010-12.

The individual commodity projections are subject to critical examination by national country experts of OECD, other collaborating countries and industry experts prior to their finalisation and publication in this report. The risks and uncertainties around the baseline projections are examined through a number of possible alternative scenarios and stochastic analysis, which illustrate how market outcomes may differ from the deterministic baseline projections. 

The fully documented outlook database, including historical data and projections, is available through the OECD-FAO joint internet site www.agri-outlook.org

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